CIPS Policy Brief No. 21, March 2013

  • War with Iran is closer than we may think, but is not inevitable.
  • If war with Iran does occur, the likely tactical victory of the U.S. (and other supporting countries) will come with a larger political and strategic defeat due to the size and nature of probably Iranian civilian casualties.
  • The current crisis could be solved with an alternate approach, based on a political endgame acceptable to both sides, that includes a broader set of factors than the nuclear issue alone.

 Full text (pdf)

John Mundy is a Visiting Associate at CIPS.  He is a former Canadian diplomat and was the last Canadian Ambassador to be appointed to Iran.