Unpacking the Endgame: Examining the Possibility of Nuclear Escalation and Regime Change in the Russia-Ukraine War
- Analysis
- January 30, 2023
In my previous blog post, I pushed back at an analysis of how the Russia-Ukraine war may end by Samuel Charap and Timothy J. Coulton at the 2022 Daniliw Seminar at the University of Ottawa. I am troubled by …
READ MOREThe study of how Russia’s war on Ukraine will end has been a niche subject, possibly due to the inherent difficulty of prediction, the surprise that greeted the full-scale invasion, and the Ukrainians’ success at stopping and rolling it back. …
READ MOREThere are better and worse ways of fighting engagements, wrote the great Prussian strategist Carl von Clausewitz. But, he added, these were just a matter of tactics and not what decided the outcome of wars.
The latter depended upon strategy, …
READ MOREOne important element of Canada’s Indo-Pacific Strategy (IPS) is accelerated alignment with Japan. Japan is a frontline democracy, pinched in with threats from Russia, China, and North Korea.
In the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) military exercises around Taiwan last August, …
READ MOREAujourd’hui, le Core Group sous la houlette du Canada, entre autres, souhaite répondre à une demande inconstitutionnelle, illégale d’un gouvernement illégitime, décrié par le peuple Ayitien, pour venir contrer l’insécurité et résoudre la crise humanitaire qui s’en suit.
Cette intervention …
READ MORETaiwan is central to Canada’s new Indo-Pacific Strategy (IPS). Only five years ago, Canada’s Strong, Secure, Engaged Defence Policy heralded: “We will seek to develop stronger relationships with other countries in the region, particularly China.” The naïve hope that Canada …
READ MOREA former Canadian Undersecretary of State for External Affairs, Allan Gotlieb, once described Canada’s strong role in disarmament activity as having “always been a natural calling, with broad public support and strong specialized constituencies”. While Canada has in the past …
READ MOREOver the past few weeks, we have witnessed a series of events that, at first glance, seem to demonstrate that transatlantic unity in support of war-ravaged Ukraine remains very strong.
At a meeting in late November in Bucharest, NATO foreign …
READ MOREMany struggles for justice, peace, or well-being incur the pushback of the state. When the state is authoritarian and unconstrained (or unconcerned) by the rule of law, ‘pushback’ can be severe and even lethal. Not surprisingly, many dissidents or activists …
READ MOREWith its November 2022 Indo-Pacific Strategy (IPS), Canada joined a growing number of states to embrace the geo-political concept that originated in Japan’s Prime Minister Abe Shinzō’s visionary speech to India’s Parliament in 2007.
Canada made a new contribution to …
READ MOREThe hearings around the “Freedom Convoy” that occupied parts of Ottawa in early 2022 have opened a window into the inner workings of Canadian police forces. The Ottawa Police Service (OPS) was widely criticized for its mishandling of the situation …
READ MOREOn the weekend that Canada announced its new Indo-Pacific Strategy and angry protests emerged across China, Taiwan (Republic of China, ROC) held its “nine-in-one” local elections on November 26.
In what the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT, Kuomintang) celebrated as a …
READ MORE