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Unpacking the Endgame: Examining the Possibility of Nuclear Escalation and Regime Change in the Russia-Ukraine War
- Analysis
- January 30, 2023
In my previous blog post, I pushed back at an analysis of how the Russia-Ukraine war may end by Samuel Charap and Timothy J. Coulton at the 2022 Daniliw Seminar at the University of Ottawa. I am troubled by their decision to “hold constant,” to bracket two key contingencies of the war: the possibility of nuclear escalation
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Thinking Through Scenarios for the End of the War in Ukraine
- Analysis
- January 26, 2023
The study of how Russia’s war on Ukraine will end has been a niche subject, possibly due to the inherent difficulty of prediction, the surprise that greeted the full-scale invasion, and the Ukrainians’ success at stopping and rolling it back. However, understanding how the war will end is essential for all involved parties, including Western
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Modern War: The Return of the Big Battalions
- Analysis
- January 17, 2023
There are better and worse ways of fighting engagements, wrote the great Prussian strategist Carl von Clausewitz. But, he added, these were just a matter of tactics and not what decided the outcome of wars. The latter depended upon strategy, and – simplifying somewhat – when it came to that, Clausewitz had a clear opinion:
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Canada’s Partnership with Japan: Strengthening Security in the Indo-Pacific
- Analysis
- January 13, 2023
One important element of Canada’s Indo-Pacific Strategy (IPS) is accelerated alignment with Japan. Japan is a frontline democracy, pinched in with threats from Russia, China, and North Korea. In the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) military exercises around Taiwan last August, China launched five missiles into Japan’s Exclusive Economic Zone. Since the Russian invasion of Ukraine, Japanese Prime Minister Kishida
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