
The Scottish Council for Global Affairs (SCGA) is a partnership between three Scottish universities, the Scottish Government and the UK government, providing a hub for collaborative policy-relevant research and non-partisan debate on international affairs. SCGA seeks to facilitate and amplify multi-disciplinary research, promote informed discourse and debate on international affairs, and support networks of collaboration
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In my previous blog post, I pushed back at an analysis of how the Russia-Ukraine war may end by Samuel Charap and Timothy J. Coulton at the 2022 Daniliw Seminar at the University of Ottawa. I am troubled by their decision to “hold constant,” to bracket two key contingencies of the war: the possibility of nuclear escalation
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The study of how Russia’s war on Ukraine will end has been a niche subject, possibly due to the inherent difficulty of prediction, the surprise that greeted the full-scale invasion, and the Ukrainians’ success at stopping and rolling it back. However, understanding how the war will end is essential for all involved parties, including Western
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There are better and worse ways of fighting engagements, wrote the great Prussian strategist Carl von Clausewitz. But, he added, these were just a matter of tactics and not what decided the outcome of wars. The latter depended upon strategy, and – simplifying somewhat – when it came to that, Clausewitz had a clear opinion:
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