CIPS Policy Brief No. 21, March 2013.
By JOHN MUNDY, Visiting Associate, CIPS.
- War with Iran is closer than we may think, but is not inevitable.
- If war with Iran does occur, the likely tactical victory of the U.S. (and other supporting countries) will come with a larger political and strategic defeat due to the size and nature of probably Iranian civilian casualties.
- The current crisis could be solved with an alternate approach, based on a political endgame acceptable to both sides, that includes a broader set of factors than the nuclear issue alone.
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John Mundy is a Visiting Associate at CIPS and a former Canadian diplomat.