• A New Cold War?

    A New Cold War?

    Thirty years on from the fall of the Berlin Wall, the world is a very different place. The liberal world order that appeared triumphant in 1989 faces unprecedented challenges – including renewed hostility from Russia – but also from a range of other sources. As the international community celebrates 30 years since the fall of

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  • Most Wars Don’t Make States (so What’s a Policymaker to do?)

    Most Wars Don’t Make States (so What’s a Policymaker to do?)

    Most modern warfare is intrastate. Most take place in poorer, weaker states and challenge many of our assumptions about the evolution of most states. Foreign policymakers should reevaluate their priorities and focus on ending civil wars rather than building centralised state structures. Since 1945, civil wars have been the dominant form of conflict in the

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  • Key Drivers in US-North Korea relations

    Key Drivers in US-North Korea relations

    North Korean and US relations have oscillated between hostility and limited detente for decades. This has only grown more intense in recent years. What are the underlying drivers in US-North Korean relations in the age of Donald Trump and Kim Jong-un? Foralmost seven decades since the Korean War, North Korea has maintained a tenuousrelationship with

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  • A Beginner’s Guide to Economic Ignorance

    A Beginner’s Guide to Economic Ignorance

    Ignorance is not the antithesis to knowledge, but it is part of it. Wishful thinking, muddling through and other forms of ignorance play a crucial role in shaping economic policy and its effects on society. We hear a lot about the power of economic expertise—whether it’s the news media calling on the latest expert to

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